Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty

Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty

Herbert I. Weisberg

An unique account of willful lack of knowledge and the way this precept pertains to sleek chance and statistical methods

Through a chain of colourful tales approximately nice thinkers and the issues they selected to unravel, the writer strains the historic evolution of likelihood and explains how statistical tools have helped to propel medical learn. even though, the previous good fortune of records has relied on big, planned simplifications amounting to willful lack of know-how, and this very luck now threatens destiny advances in drugs, the social sciences, and different fields. boundaries of current tools bring about common reversals of medical findings and proposals, to the consternation of either scientists and the lay public.

Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of concerning chance because the complete degree of our uncertainty. The publication explains how statistical technique, even though drastically efficient and influential over the last century, is imminent a quandary. The deep and troubling divide among qualitative and quantitative modes of analysis, and among examine and perform, are reflections of this underlying challenge. the writer outlines a course towards the re-engineering of knowledge research to aid shut those gaps and speed up clinical discovery. 

Willful lack of know-how: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty offers crucial details and novel rules that are supposed to be of curiosity to a person inquisitive about the way forward for clinical study. The e-book is mainly pertinent for execs in information and comparable fields, together with working towards and study clinicians, biomedical and social technological know-how researchers, enterprise leaders, and policy-makers.

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